Fraserburghvs
Strathspey Thistle
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Highland League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fraserburgh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fraserburgh 2-2 Strathspey Thistle
Original prediction
Fraserburgh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.0% | 54.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.2% | 22.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.9% | 22.5% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Fraserburgh
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Fraserburgh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80