Fraserburghvs
Formartine United
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Highland League · 9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fraserburgh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fraserburgh 1-1 Formartine United
Original prediction
Fraserburgh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.0% | 52.3% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.6% | 22.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.4% | 24.8% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Fraserburgh
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Fraserburgh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40