Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lucksta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Fransta are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Lucksta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lucksta hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Lucksta holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lucksta
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
6.9%
Lucksta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20