Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Franke are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20