Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Franke are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and skiljebo hold a 18.2-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, favouring Skiljebo with 9.7% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
9.7%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20