Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Franke are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lidingö are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Franke hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Franke holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00