Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Franke are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Korsnäs are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Franke hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Franke holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80