Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Franke are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Korsnäs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Franke hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Franke holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
79.0%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80