Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Franke are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Karlberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40