Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Franke are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Järfälla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20