Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Franke are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Järfälla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60