Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Franke are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Helges are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Franke hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Franke holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
83.1%
Model confidence
83.1%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00