Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Franke 1-0 Gute
Original prediction
Franke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.8% | 42.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 22.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.7% | 35.3% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FrankeLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GuteWWLLW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FrankeGute
56.1Attack49.1
43.9Defence50.9
38.6Form45.6
46.5Power49.5
1.80xG1.57