Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Francs Borains

Francs Borains

Home
LW
30
Full time
Tubize

Tubize

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Tubize33%
Francs Borains33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Francs Borains
33%
Draw
33%
Tubize
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.65 xG for Francs Borains and 0.97 xG for Tubize. Tubize's projected xG of 0.97 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.61 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Francs Borains)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Francs Borains)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Francs BorainsFrancs Borains
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Francs Borains33%
Draw33%
Tubize33%

Tubize leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Francs Borains vs Tubize: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Francs Borains host Tubize in Friendlies Clubs. Francs Borains have recorded WLLLWW in recent matches while Tubize arrive with a run of WWDDWL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.65 for Francs Borains and 0.97 for Tubize. The gap of 1.68 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Francs Borains have been conceding 1.58 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Francs Borains

Francs Borains

L
@ Reims
15 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Crossing Schaerbeek
10 Jul 2026
52

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Francs Borains vs Tubize?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Francs Borains vs Tubize?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Francs Borains vs Tubize?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Francs Borains vs Tubize?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more