GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/20/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KRC Genk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Francs Borains are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KRC Genk II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KRC Genk II hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Challenger Pro League, while KRC Genk II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KRC Genk II

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

KRC Genk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Francs BorainsWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 2.25/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
KRC Genk IIWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Francs BorainsKRC Genk II
42.2Attack51.1
42.2Defence42.2
35.6Form41.1
41.7Power46.3
1.55xG1.64
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