World Cup
France
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Spain leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
France head into this in World Cup fixture in strong form (LLWWW), while Spain arrive in outstanding form (WWWWW). France have a 75% win rate across their last 8 matches, compared to 88% for Spain over 8 games.
The model rates France's attack at 86/100 against a 89/100 Spain defence, and Spain's attack at 64/100 against a 56/100 France backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
France have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Spain have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.
France have generated 3.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.35 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Spain have generated 2.42 xG per game recently while conceding 0.43 xG per match.
Spain have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects France to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: France 3612%, Draw 2240%, Spain 4148%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
France
Spain
Frequently asked questions
Who will win France vs Spain?
GoalVio's model predicts France to win with 41% confidence.
What is the predicted score for France vs Spain?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in France vs Spain?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in France vs Spain?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.