World Cup
France
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France leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
France head into this in World Cup fixture at Gillette Stadium in strong form (LLWWW), while Morocco arrive in strong form (LWDWW). France have a 75% win rate across their last 8 matches, compared to 50% for Morocco over 6 games.
The model rates France's attack at 86/100 against a 66/100 Morocco defence, and Morocco's attack at 61/100 against a 56/100 France backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
France have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Morocco have won 2 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per away game.
France have generated 3.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.35 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Morocco have generated 1.43 xG per game recently while conceding 1.10 xG per match.
France have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects France to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: France 5066%, Draw 2315%, Morocco 2619%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
France
Morocco
Frequently asked questions
Who will win France vs Morocco?
GoalVio's model predicts France to win with 51% confidence.
What is the predicted score for France vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in France vs Morocco?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in France vs Morocco?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.