World Cup
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France leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
France head into this in World Cup fixture at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden in strong form (LLWWW), while England arrive in outstanding form (WLWWW). France have a 75% win rate across their last 8 matches, compared to 75% for England over 8 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — France (86/100) and England (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
France have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. England have been excellent on the road, winning all 3 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
France have generated 3.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.35 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. England have generated 1.56 xG per game recently while conceding 1.13 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.
England have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 10.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects France to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: France 3967%, Draw 2207%, England 3826%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
France
England
Frequently asked questions
Who will win France vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts France to win with 40% confidence.
What is the predicted score for France vs England?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in France vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in France vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.