GGOALVIO

World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

France U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

France U21 7-1 Switzerland U21

Original prediction

France U21

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5658.5%63.1%4.5 pts
Draw4.0822.4%20.2%-2.1 pts
Away4.7819.1%16.7%-2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–011%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

France U21

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

France U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

France U21WWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Switzerland U21LWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
France U21Switzerland U21
100.0Attack59.3
74.1Defence63.0
85.2Form63.0
83.4Power61.1
2.13xG0.92
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