France U20vs
Italy U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 10/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
France U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
France U20 0-3 Italy U20
Original prediction
France U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 45.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.1% | 28.4% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
France U20
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
France U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20