France U19vs
Turkey U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/1/2026, 10:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
France U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
France U19 2-1 Turkey U19
Original prediction
France U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 81.2% | 60.7% | -20.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.50 | 12.2% | 20.5% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 13.86 | 6.6% | 18.8% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
France U19
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
France U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40