Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raelingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Fram are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Raelingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Raelingen hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Raelingen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raelingen
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
6.5%
Raelingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00