Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Fram are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lyn II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn II hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Lyn II holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn II
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
7.0%
Lyn II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40