Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Fram are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Arendal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80