GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/23/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Fram Reykjavik are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Valur Reykjavik are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fram Reykjavik

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fram ReykjavikDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Valur ReykjavikLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Fram ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
83.3Attack57.4
37.0Defence33.3
68.5Form40.7
63.2Power45.3
3.90xG1.93
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