Fram Reykjavikvs
KR Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/10/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 4-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fram Reykjavik 1-2 KR Reykjavik
Original prediction
Fram Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.9% | 41.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.8% | 24.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.3% | 34.4% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00