Fram Reykjavikvs
KA Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 5-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fram Reykjavik 2-2 KA Akureyri
Original prediction
Fram Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.5% | 73.7% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.2% | 13.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.3% | 13.3% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.5–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60