Fram Reykjavikvs
IA Akranes
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/19/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fram Reykjavik 2-4 IA Akranes
Original prediction
Fram Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 57.9% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 17.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.7% | 25.0% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–16%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20