Fram Reykjavikvs
Breidablik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/15/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fram Reykjavik 1-3 Breidablik
Original prediction
Fram Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.6% | 60.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.1% | 16.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.3% | 23.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60