Fountain Gatevs
Pamba Jiji
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pamba Jiji · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fountain Gate 1-1 Pamba Jiji
Original prediction
Pamba Jiji
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.5% | 35.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 28.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 35.9% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Pamba Jiji
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Pamba Jiji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00