Fountain Gatevs
Mbeya City
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mbeya City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fountain Gate 0-2 Mbeya City
Original prediction
Mbeya City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.8% | 32.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.4% | 29.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 30.8% | 38.1% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Mbeya City
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Mbeya City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40