Fossombronevs
Teramo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone F · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Teramo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fossombrone 2-4 Teramo
Original prediction
Teramo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.07 | 22.2% | 34.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 28.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.9% | 37.6% | -13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Teramo
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Teramo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FossombroneWLDWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TeramoWWWWL
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FossombroneTeramo
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24