Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Forward are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sylvia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40