Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Forward are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Smedby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 20 · GA 15 · avg 4.00/3.00