Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward 1-1 Sleipner
Original prediction
Forward
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.5% | 42.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 25.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.3% | 32.0% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForwardDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SleipnerDLWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ForwardSleipner
63.8Attack69.6
59.4Defence49.3
62.3Form63.8
62.2Power60.9
2.14xG1.58