Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Forward are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rågsved are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
9.2%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20