Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward 2-0 Lindo FF
Original prediction
Forward
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.9% | 71.8% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 15.5% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 24.0% | 12.7% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForwardWLLLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lindo FFLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ForwardLindo FF
63.5Attack42.9
58.7Defence34.9
61.9Form27.0
61.7Power36.1
2.95xG0.92