Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward 3-3 Haninge
Original prediction
Forward
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.5% | 50.9% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 18.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.9% | 30.3% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForwardLDDWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HaningeLDWWL
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ForwardHaninge
61.3Attack82.7
58.7Defence33.3
58.7Form57.3
60.0Power56.6
2.72xG1.90