Forward Madisonvs
Union Omaha
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward Madison 0-0 Union Omaha
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.7% | 39.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 28.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.9% | 31.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20