Forward Madisonvs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.0% | 44.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.7% | 27.7% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60