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USL League OneUSL League One
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Forward Madison

Forward Madison

Home
WW
4–0
Full time
Richmond Kickers

Richmond Kickers

Away
L
Breese Stevens Field
GoalVio prediction
63% confidence
Forward Madison(63%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Forward Madison
Win probability
Forward Madison
63%
Draw
23%
Richmond Kickers
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Forward Madison
86
Richmond Kickers
9
Defence
Forward Madison
91
Richmond Kickers
1
Momentum
Forward Madison
100
Richmond Kickers
0
Danger (xG)
Forward Madison
2.25
Richmond Kickers
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Forward Madison)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Richmond Kickers)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Forward Madison)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Richmond Kickers)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Forward MadisonForward Madison
WWD
Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
LLL

Probability breakdown

63% confidence
Forward Madison63%
Draw23%
Richmond Kickers14%

Forward Madison leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Forward Madison head into this in USL League One fixture at Breese Stevens Field in decent form (WW), while Richmond Kickers arrive in mixed form (L). Forward Madison have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Richmond Kickers over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Forward Madison's elite attack (86/100) faces a vulnerable Richmond Kickers defence (1/100), while Richmond Kickers's attack is up against a watertight Forward Madison backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Forward Madison's favour.

Forward Madison have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Richmond Kickers have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Forward Madison have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Forward Madison to win with 63% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Forward Madison 6278%, Draw 2308%, Richmond Kickers 1414%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Forward Madison 1Draws 00 Richmond Kickers
Avg goals: 4.0
16 Jul 2026
Forward Madison
W4–0
Richmond Kickers

Recent form

Forward Madison

Forward Madison

W
vs Richmond Kickers
16 Jul 2026
4–0
W
@ Spokane Velocity
2 Jul 2026
1–0
D
vs Detroit City
16 May 2026
0–0
Richmond Kickers

Richmond Kickers

L
@ Forward Madison
16 Jul 2026
0–4
L
@ Boise
11 Jun 2026
1–2
L
vs Charleston Battery
16 May 2026
0–4

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

GoalVio's model predicts Forward Madison to win with 63% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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