Forward Madisonvs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward Madison 2-0 Portland Hearts of Pine
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.0% | 69.5% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.2% | 17.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 17.8% | 12.9% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00