Forward Madisonvs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward Madison 1-1 One Knoxville
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 49.3% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 24.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.0% | 26.6% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60