Forward MadisonvsOne Knoxville

Forward Madison are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the USL League One Cup, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.