GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

75.4%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Greenville TriumphLL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
66.7Attack36.8
64.9Defence43.9
63.2Form33.3
64.5Power40.1
2.60xG0.66
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