GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Detroit City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Detroit CityLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Forward MadisonDetroit City
50.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence83.3
25.0Form66.7
34.2Power64.8
1.15xG1.57
View match centre →