Forward Madisonvs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forward Madison 3-0 Alta
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.3% | 64.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.5% | 20.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.3% | 14.9% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20