GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eredivisie Women · 10/1/2023, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Sittard W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Fortuna Sittard W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Excelsior W are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Sittard W hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 25.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.4% in the Eredivisie Women, while Fortuna Sittard W holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Sittard W

Probability

91.4%

Model confidence

91.4%

Fortuna Sittard W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Sittard WWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Excelsior WLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Fortuna Sittard WExcelsior W
86.4Attack30.3
59.1Defence19.7
60.6Form16.7
64.0Power25.9
4.50xG0.62
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