Fortuna Sittardvs
AZ Alkmaar
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/22/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
Original prediction
AZ Alkmaar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortuna SittardWDWLL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AZ AlkmaarWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
83.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
68.0Power94.8
1.62xG1.78