GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Koln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Fortuna Koln are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wegberg-Beeck are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WWDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Koln hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.9% in the Regionalliga - West, while Fortuna Koln holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Koln

Probability

77.9%

Model confidence

77.9%

Fortuna Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KolnWDDLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wegberg-BeeckWWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Fortuna KolnWegberg-Beeck
57.8Attack42.2
62.7Defence24.5
54.9Form25.5
58.9Power33.1
3.05xG0.81
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